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Middlebury political scientists Bert Johnson and Matt Dickinson analyze the presidential primaries.

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Professor Pundits: The Momentum Myth [video]

April 11, 2016

MIDDLEBURY, Vt. -- Bernie Sanders has won the last seven primary contests, which could suggest a trend if you were to believe much of the news coverage. Not so, say professors Matt Dickinson and Bert Johnson. The reason he's won so many of the recent primaries is that they have all been in states that are demographically favorable to him. He'll face a much tougher test in New York, which may be the most important proving ground for the viability of his campaign.

In their latest installment, Dickinson and Johnson also discuss the increasingly hot topic of party unity, looking at signs in both parties that some voters may not support their party's chosen candidate.

Dickinson writes the blog Presidential Power and is frequently quoted in the national news media. He often live tweets political events at @MattDickinson44. Johnson, also a regular in the national media, tweets at @bnjohns.

View more episodes of the Professor Pundits.

1 Comment

Besides the unpredicted/unpredictable nature of the surviving candidates at this point in the primary election cycle, the other big part of the story which you nicely touch on is what will be the delegates' behaviors at the conventions? I am in shock (call me naive) at the statements of more than one delegate that they are bound by nothing in terms of state primary results, even for the first ballots! The issues of disenfranchisement are bad enough in general elections - these delegate statements at the primary phase are enough to question what the purpose of voting in
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primaries really is. And as far as I can tell, there is precious little judicial oversight of each party's rules and obligations to pay some attention to primary results. This is dangerous behavior that risks alienating citizen voters even more than they already are, and not a worthy process for a democratic country. Are there any procedural/legal bases to require that primaries adhere to one person, one vote principles in a way that at least the general election is supposed to be?
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by David Minot '81 (not verified)